← PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at PTM Regional - Reaper Game Store
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 10.6% | 6 | 1-5-0 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 36.0% | -7.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.4% | -1.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.6% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.7% | +3.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.6% | 5 | 5-0-0 | 100.0% | 77.8% | 69.1% | +11.0 |
| Fire Suited | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.8% | +14.2 |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 4 | 0-2-2 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 49.3% | -0.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Wind Arcane | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Water Allies | 1.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.1% | +8.7 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Water Nico | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Sealing | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Winds of Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Noble Dissolution | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Harness Lightning | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Byakko's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseeched Fatestone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |